Regime scale climate forcing of salmon populations in the Northeast Pacific - some new thoughts and findings 

by Robert C. Francis1 and Steven R. Hare2 

 
1  School of Fisheries Box 357980, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195
2  International Pacific Halibut Commission, P. O. Box 95009, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98145-2009
 
Published as:
Francis, R.C. and S.R. Hare. 1997.  Regime scale climate forcing of salmon populations in the Northeast Pacific - some new thoughts and findings.  [In] Emmett, R.L. and M.H.Schiewe [eds]. 1997.  Estuarine and ocean survival of Northeastern Pacific salmon: Proceedings of the workshop. U.S. Dep. Commer., NOAA Tech. Memo. NMFS-NWFSC-29, pp. 113-128.
 

Abstract

Recent work (Hare and Francis 1992, Francis and Hare 1994, Hare and Francis 1995, Hare 1996) has shown that Alaska salmon population production responds to regime scale (interdecadal) climate forcing, manifesting itself in low frequency and rather abrupt jumps which correspond very closely to similar abrupt shifts in N. Pacific atmosphere and ocean climate. Careful analysis reveals that

1. This connection between atmosphere/ocean physics and salmon production occurs early in the salmon marine life history.

2. To date, connections between indices of climatic variability and salmon production have been found at the regime (interdecadal) scale, but not at the interannual scale.

The objective of this paper is to discuss recent findings on the effects of regime scale climate changes on upper ocean dynamics and apparent responses in phytoplankton and zooplankton production in both the California and Alaska Current regions of the NE Pacific. These results have major implications concerning mechanisms linking the observed decadal scale climate response of NE Pacific salmon to their ocean environment.
 
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This page last updated on February 19, 1997.
Copyright © Steven R. Hare